Source: http://www.firejoemorgan.com/2008/10/poetry.html
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The Cincinnati Reds returned home from a disastrous road trip to find the perfect remedy: Chris Narveson and the Milwaukee Brewers. Jay Bruce hit a three-run homer and finished with three hits, powering Travis Wood and Cincinnati to a 7-3 victory over Milwaukee on Monday night. Paul Janish added two hits and drove in a run for the Reds, who just wrapped a 2-8 trip to Cleveland, Philadelphia and...
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Just as we're warming to the idea that the Cleveland Indians could be a contender in the AL Central, there's another team coming out of nowhere.
Three weeks ago the Arizona Diamondbacks were in last place, which is where they spent pretty much all of 2010. But they've won 14 of their last 16 games, and in a National League West in which no team is stepping up, they've assumed first place. And they jumped 10 spots from No. 21 to No. 11 in our latest MLB Power Rankings, the biggest one-week move of any team this year.
...Source: http://baseball.about.com/b/2011/05/30/should-arizona-be-taken-seriously-in-the-nl-west.htm
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We still have more than a month until the All-Star Game in Arizona, but there's no such thing as Election Day in baseball. People are voting now, and voting often. (You can vote now on MLB.com.)
...Source: http://baseball.about.com/b/2011/05/26/who-has-earned-your-vote-for-the-al-all-star-team.htm
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Bartolo Colon believes he's a better pitcher at age 38 after missing an entire season than he was during his harder-throwing, Cy Young award winning days. He sure pitched that way against Oakland, throwing a four-hitter for his first shutout in nearly five years as the New York Yankees beat the Athletics for the eighth straight time, 5-0 on Monday.
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View a press release about the exhibit
View a photo gallery of the exhibit opening
With three of the game's greatest players on hand, the National Baseball Hall of Fame and Museum's newest exhibit, One for the Books: Baseball Records and the Stories Behind Them, opened to the public on Saturday.
Beforehand, a ribbon cutting took place in which Hall of Fame officials as well as enshrinees Joe Morgan, Phil Niekro and Cal Ripken Jr., a trio that combined played 67 big league seasons and had its share of records, joined in the festivities.
"It just blows your mind away when you come up here and see the names behind the records and the second guy and the third and the fourth," said Niekro minutes after the opening. "I've always said that records were made to be broken; some of them have and some of them will not be.
"Records, for me, really don't come into play as you're playing your career until you get right next to one, and all of a sudden it becomes real big."
As for those records that will never be broken, Niekro put Ripken's consecutive games played streak at the top of the list.
Nearby Niekro was Ripken, talking in front of an exhibit case that included a helmet, tickets and a scoresheet from the night when his amazing consecutive games played streak surpassed Lou Gehrig's.
"Once the streak was formed, I tried to keep the same exact approach to the game after that. I was resilient enough, I was healthy enough, mentally I was strong enough to do it, and the managers kept choosing me," Ripken said. "I don't look at the streak as an unbreakable record. If I could do it, certainly somebody else has that ability. And it happens not because you're obsessed with it but because you feel you should be coming to the ballpark ready to play. You should be trying to meet the challenges of each and every day. That's what a team does.
"Every body wants to fulfill a dream in whatever they do. Mine was to be a baseball player. You fulfill a dream by first making it, and then after you're in it you'd like to leave your mark in some way as a contribution to the sport," Ripken added. "Being celebrated here in this Hall of Fame exhibit is part of that mark. But I've got to tell you, it's surreal in many ways and almost seems like, 'Did that part of my life really happen? Did I play all those games?'"
According to Morgan, he was both thrilled to be there and amazed by some of the numbers.
"I didn't realize that so many guys hit four home runs in a game. And I wasn't aware that a couple guys stole seven bases in a game. This just tells you about a lot of things that we just weren't aware of," Morgan said. "Honestly, I didn't realize I was second to (Hall of Famer) Eddie Collins as far as games played by a second baseman. There are a lot of things in here that are going to open people's eyes that they probably didn't know about. For me, already, it's been enlightening.
"You grow up and the numbers you remember are 714, 61, 56, but obviously some of those numbers have changed now, but Joe DiMaggio's 56-game hitting streak is still there," Morgan added. "I was with Pete Rose when he got to 44 consecutive games and I actually thought Pete was going to make it. When Pete set his sights on something, he usually accomplished it."
Thanks to the generosity of Presenting Sponsor Legendary Pictures, along with its founder Thomas Tull, the exhibit is the most interactive in the Museum's history ? featuring the Top Ten Tower, a database of records dating back to the game's infancy.
"This is truly awe-inspiring," Tull said. "The exhibit, when you hear the pitch, when you hear what it's going to be, it sounds really great, but it pales in comparison, frankly, to the presentation, the artifacts that are here, it's just truly awe-inspiring."
From Hall of Fame President Jeff Idelson came only high praise for those that played a part in the institution's latest prize destination.
"When I first saw the exhibit, I thought how lucky are we to have the most professional, the most dedicated, the most outstanding staff I've worked with here at the Hall of Fame," Idelson said. "From the curators to the designers to the research team to the development office to raise the funds, to the maintenance staff that keeps it looking great, top to bottom, across the board, this staff knows how to put together a world class exhibit.
"And the exhibit truly captures the essence of what baseball records are all about. Not only are the artifacts there to tell the story, but the stories about those records are put into their proper historical context so you understand why records were set, how records were set, what the conditions were."
Bill Francis is a library associate at the National Baseball Hall of Fame and Museum
Source: http://baseballhall.org/news/museum-news/book-it
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The 2010 Comeback Players of the Year were Tim Hudson and Francisco Liriano. Great stories of perseverance amid injuries.
But if Sean Burroughs resumes his career course with the Arizona Diamondbacks, it's on another level of the comeback scale. Almost a Roy Hobbs-in-The-Natural kind of comeback.
...Source: http://baseball.about.com/b/2011/05/20/sean-burroughs-has-the-years-best-comeback-story.htm
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Source: http://sports.espn.go.com/chicago/mlb/news/story?id=6605081&campaign=rss&source=MLBHeadlines
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Source: http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/how-much-should-you-car-for-babip-vagaries/
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Source: http://www.baseballmusings.com/archives/031380.php
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Giants catcher Buster Posey says it's "highly likely" he will miss the rest of the season after injuring his left leg and ankle in a collision at home plate.
Source : MSNBC.com
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Sergio Garcia and Ryan Palmer share the lead after two rounds at the Byron Nelson Championship at 8-under 132.
Source : CBS 11 - Dallas / Fort Worth's Sour
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Source: http://wik.io/info/US/268474178
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Los Angeles Police Department Chief Charlie Beck provided little new information Thursday on the investigation into the beating of San Francisco Giants fan Bryan Stow, but reaffirmed his belief that the primary suspect was the principal assailant in the beating....
Source : L.A. Now
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Just call Kevin Correia the road warrior. Correia pitched shutout ball into the eighth inning before the Pittsburgh Pirates held on to beat the Chicago Cubs 4-2 on Friday. Correia (7-4) limited Chicago to four singles and a pair of walks in 7 1-3 innings. He moved into a tie with Boston's Jon Lester for the major league lead in wins, and has six of the Pirates' 14 victories away from PNC...
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Two-and-a-half weeks into the season and the standings are pretty much in-line with the consensus viewpoint prior to Opening Day. While this observation is no solace for Red Sox fans, who is all that surprised that the Yankees, Rangers, Phillies, Reds, and Rockies are atop their divisions? Or that the Mariners, Mets, Astros, and Diamondbacks are in the basement?
Among teams in first or last place, only the Red Sox, Indians, and Twins would cause those in the know to scratch their head. As it relates to clubs in the middle of the pack, maybe the Royals are outperforming as much as the Braves are underperforming but there is really very little to quibble about as far as the rest of the W-L records are concerned. Oh, there might be a few fans out there who were hoping that their favorite team got off to a better start, but I don't see how anyone outside Boston or Minnesota could argue for more than one win or perhaps two at this juncture.
With respect to the Red Sox, absent some permanent change in the fundamental outlook, I would simply lower their projected win total for the year by the difference between the actual (5) and expected (9) wins to date. In other words, if 95 wins was a good estimate before the season, then I would be inclined to go with 91 today. Going 86-61 (.585) the rest of the way doesn't seem so unreasonable to me.
Same thing with the Twins. Instead of winning, say, 85 games, perhaps the team ends up with 82 or 83. As for Cleveland, maybe the Indians win 75 to 80 games rather than 70 to 75. I know this is a simplistic way of looking at today's standings — especially without taking into consideration strength of schedules — but I believe it is more rational than making some sweeping conclusions about this team or that team 14 to 17 games into the season.
Will there be surprises this year? Most definitely. No season ever goes according to plan. Injuries, breakouts/breakdowns, and good luck/bad luck all come into play each and every campaign. There is no reason why this year will be different. But don't give up on the Red Sox or Twins, or raise that 2011 AL Central Championship banner in Cleveland quite yet.
AMERICAN LEAGUE EAST TEAM W L PCT GB Yankees 9 5 .643 - Rays 7 9 .438 3 Blue Jays 7 9 .438 3 Orioles 6 9 .400 3.5 Red Sox 5 10 .333 4.5
AMERICAN LEAGUE CENTRAL TEAM W L PCT GB Indians 12 4 .750 - Royals 10 6 .625 2 Tigers 8 9 .471 4.5 White Sox 7 9 .438 5 Twins 6 10 .375 6
AMERICAN LEAGUE WEST TEAM W L PCT GB Rangers 11 5 .688 - Angels 10 6 .625 1 A's 8 8 .500 3 Mariners 5 12 .294 6.5
NATIONAL LEAGUE EAST TEAM W L PCT GB Phillies 10 5 .667 - Marlins 8 6 .571 1.5 Nationals 8 7 .533 2 Braves 7 10 .412 4 Mets 5 11 .313 5.5
NATIONAL LEAGUE CENTRAL TEAM W L PCT GB Reds 9 7 .563 - Pirates 8 8 .500 1 Cardinals 8 8 .500 1 Cubs 8 8 .500 1 Brewers 8 8 .500 1 Astros 5 11 .313 4
NATIONAL LEAGUE WEST TEAM W L PCT GB Rockies 12 4 .750 - Giants 9 7 .563 3 Dodgers 8 9 .471 4.5 Padres 7 9 .438 5 Diamondbacks 6 8 .429 5
Back in January, I thought the A's, Brewers, and Rockies were the best bets to exceed their projected win totals. I lowered my expectations for Milwaukee after learning about Zack Greinke's injury but still thought the NL Central would be a wide-open affair with the Reds, Cardinals, Cubs, and Brewers fighting it out for most of the summer. I have little or no reason to change my outlook for the A's or Rockies and wouldn't be totally surprised if one or both ended up in the World Series.
Source: http://baseballanalysts.com/archives/2011/04/understanding_t.php
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A couple weeks ago Mike Fast posted two graphs showing the average plate location of each pitcher from 2007-2010 to LHBs and RHBs. I thought it was a very cool idea as it offers some insights into how pitchers attack the zone differently. It is particularly interesting to see the outlier pitchers: Derek Lowe has the lowest (ha) pitches, and Livan Hernandez pitches the farthest away to both left-handed and right-handed batters. And without being presented the data I would never have guessed that Ervin Santana throws the farthest inside to left-handed batters of any pitcher. With most pitchers throwing extremely away to lefties I wanted to see what was going on with Santana.
*As a quick side note, I think that these are the raw values straight from gameday and not Mike's corrected values (Mike can correct me if I am wrong). But recently both Mike and Max Marchi described park correction systems to the plate locations they developed. Though take slightly different approaches they seem to get similar results, which is reassuring. Also they both come to the conclusion that for most parks on most days the data are probably off by less than an inch or two, also reassuring. But still I think the correction process is an important one, and I hope to give it some thought soon.*
Turning back to Santana, although he occasionally throws a change up he is largely a two-pitch pitcher throwing his fastball 59% of the time and his slider 36% of the time (he stopped throwing a curve in 2007) . This is the case even to left-hand batters, to whom he still throws his change up under 10% of the time and throws his slider over 30% of the time. For a right-handed starter is this is a very high percentage, maybe one of the highest in the league, for slider use to left-handed batters.
I think this is a big part of the reason he throws so far inside to left-handed batters. Sliders have glove-side movement compared to fastballs, so from right-handed pitchers they move away to right-hand batters and in to left-handed batters. Thus from a right-handed pitcher they often end up inside to left-handed batters. Since Santana throws more sliders to left-handed batters than the almost any right-handed pitcher he will tend to throw more inside pitches. And his sliders are even more inside than the average right-handed pitcher's:

So Santana is throwing sliders to left-handed batters much more than other right-handed batters do and throwing them even farther inside than others do. Most right-handed pitchers throw fastballs and change ups to left-handed batters and when they do they throw them outside. Santana throws his share of fastballs to left-handed batters, but when he does he throws them slightly more inside than average:

When you add up all these parts — fastball not as extremely outside as other RHPs, lots of inside sliders rather than outside change ups — you get Santana's extreme inside pitches to left-handed batters. But does it work? What are Santana's numbers against LHBs like?
Santana has averaged a 4.7 FIP against lefties versus a 3.94 FIP against righties — a pretty reasonable platoon split and generally an okay performance against lefties. Also his slider is better against lefties than his change is, getting more whiffs (17% versus 10%), more out-of-zone swings (35% versus 24%), fewer in-zone swings (53% versus 72%), and a lower slugging on balls in play (.583 versus .626). So given what he has to work with it looks like Santana is right to go with his inside slider against LHBs so much over his change. And as a result of this he is the only pitcher whose pitches on average end up on the inside half of the plate to left-handed batters.
Source: http://baseballanalysts.com/archives/2011/03/ervin_santanas.php
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Source: http://www.baseballmusings.com/archives/031383.php
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I don't know if the nonsense Op-Ed by Matt Miller is due to him being too lazy to actually research the subject or him purposely choosing to spread misinformation for ideological reasons, but either way, it is a pathetic defense of the Republicans Medicare privatization plan.
Source : Firedoglake
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Source: http://www.baseballmusings.com/archives/031380.php
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News: Troy Tulowitzki hit his sixth and seventh home runs of the season as the Colorado Rockies swept a doubleheader and the four-game series from the New York Mets on Thursday. He was a combined 5-for-8 on the day. The 26-year-old shortstop leads Major League Baseball in HR (7), XBH (10), TB (40), RC (19), SLG (.909), and OPS (1.400).
Views: Move over Albert Pujols, Tulowitzki is now the best player in the game. The seventh overall draft pick out of Long Beach State in 2005 is nearly five years younger than the three-time National League MVP, plays a much more important defensive position (and as well as any shortstop in baseball), and, get this, has actually outhit him over the past 365 days. That's right, Tulo has a higher AVG (.324 to .300), SLG (.614 to .560), OPS (1.011 to .961), wOBA (.431 to .401), and wRC+ (161 to 153) than Pujols during this period. Moreover, the player who is now just approaching his prime has generated 7.7 Wins Above Replacement (fWAR) vs. 6.5 for his 31-year-old counterpart.
You can have Pujols or, for that matter, Hanley Ramirez if you're into shortstops. I'll take Tulowitzki.
Source: http://baseballanalysts.com/archives/2011/04/news_and_views_5.php
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The Baltimore Orioles were scurrying around the bases at a dizzying pace, and the feeling in the dugout was euphoric during their biggest inning in nearly two years. "It's kind of like sharks on a feeding frenzy," Luke Scott said. "There was a lot of excitement. A lot of positive energy, everyone pulling for each other." Adam Jones had two hits and two RBIs in an eight-run...
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Yankees setup man Rafael Soriano has an inflamed ligament in his right elbow that could keep the former All-Star out up to two months, depriving manager Joe Girardi of his main bridge to Mariano Rivera. Yankees general manager Brian Cashman said that Soriano was examined Wednesday by orthopedist Dr. James Andrews in Pensacola, Fla.
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Maybe all the Philadelphia Phillies needed was to see Chase Utley back in the lineup to perk up their slumping bats. Jimmy Rollins, Placido Polanco and Raul Ibanez homered to back Cole Hamels, and the Phillies handed the Cincinnati Reds their sixth straight loss, 10-3 on Monday night. Utley returned after missing the first 46 games with a right knee injury.
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Source: http://www.baseballmusings.com/archives/031386.php
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Any numerologists out there ready to explain this one?
There were seven American League games on Sunday, and in every one of them a team scored five runs. Detroit, Tampa Bay, Oakland and Chicago won. Minnesota, Texas and Cleveland lost.
...Source: http://baseball.about.com/b/2011/05/09/sundays-al-games-sponsored-by-the-number-5.htm
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Last week David Stockman was on Tom Keene , making the usual media rounds (sometimes we marvel at his patience and endurance), as one of the few voices of fiscal prudence available to TV producers who seek to hold a balanced debate on the topic of US insolvency. Today, Reagan's budget director was again on Bloomberg TV explaining the reality of the situation to Matt Miller for the n th time (by...
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Rangers sluggers Josh Hamilton and Nelson Cruz are expected to be off the disabled list in time for Monday's home game against the Chicago White Sox.
Source : CBS 11 - Dallas / Fort Worth's Sour
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What they're saying across baseball about Hall of Fame slugger Harmon Killebrew, who died Tuesday from esophageal cancer:
"[Killebrew was] Paul Bunyan with a uniform on.'' - Former Twins first ...
Source: http://baseball.about.com/b/2011/05/18/remembering-harmon-killebrew-1936-2011.htm
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Last year before the 2010 season started I looked at how a couple different projection systems saw the season playing out. With this season just one day old, I wanted to do the same for the 2011 projections. Here I take a graphical look at the number of wins six systems project for every team and plot those out for each division separately. This gives a good picture of the range of predictions and how much consensus there is across systems.
I used five projection systems for which I could get win totals and the Vegas regular season over/under win totals. I grabbed the Marcel, Bill James and Cairo projections complied by the folks at RLYW who ran the player-level projections for those systems through the Diamond Mind Simulator to get win totals. I also used THT's Oliver and BPro's Pecota projections (as of March 30th). The Vegas lines are from Pinnacle Sports, so they are not really Vegas's numbers but the offshore ones (also as of March 30th).

All of the projections systems see a pretty clear ordering of the five AL east teams, with a slight disagreement in the cellar dweller Toronto (Marcel, Cairo, Bill James, Pecota) or Baltimore (THT, Vegas). I was surprised to see Baltimore come out on top of Toronto in so many projections. Although not a difference in ordering, THT is not nearly as fond of Tampa Bay as the other systems are. And interestingly Vegas has a lower win total for the Yankees than any other system, I always assumed that there would be a pro-Yankees bias among bettors.

All six projections see the AL Central as pretty clearly two-tiered — with Minnesota, Chicago and Detroit competing for the division title and then Cleveland and KC a solid ten wins behind. Though everyone likes Cleveland more than Kansas City. As in the AL East THT has some outlier values, projecting more extreme values for Detroit, Cleveland and Kansas City

The AL West is similarly two-tiered — with Texas and Oakland at the top, and Los Angeles and Seattle bringing up the rear. There is only one disagreement in the ordering with THT thinking Seattle is above Los Angeles. THT also likes the top two teams much more than the other systems do. Vegas is pretty high on LA, seeing them just a slight step behind the Texas and Oakland. If you have faith in the projection systems over the bettors and bookmakers an under on the Angels is a clear play.

There is a farily well agreed upon ordering in the NL East,.THT is again something of an outlier projecting New York and Florida as fairly even while everyone else clearly prefers Florida, and is the only system that likes Atlanta over Philadelphia to win the division. If you trust the projections systems over Vegas this division offers two opportunities: the under on Philly and the over on New York.

Sorry about the color choice here. Both St. Louis and Cincinnati deserve red, but their lines are very close so to keep things distinct. So I went with black for Cincinnati and red for St. Louis. This is another two-tiered division with four teams fairly close at the top (though Chicago is at the bottom of the top tier in most systems) and then two bottom dwellers. Like the AL Central this is projected to be a pretty competitive conference. Again THT is something of an outlier liking Cincinnati and St. Louis much more than the other systems.

Five of the six systems like San Francisco to repeat at NL West champions, with Marcel the lone dissenter picking Los Angeles. THT is again the most bullish about the favorite's win total, as it is the only system projecting more than 90 wins for San Francisco. Vegas likes Colorado by a fairly big margin compared to the projection systems, so there is another play if you are so inclined.
Source: http://baseballanalysts.com/archives/2011/03/comparing_2011.php
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The Los Angeles Dodgers' Andre Ethier failed to get a hit in a game for the first time since April 1 on Saturday against the New York Mets, ending his hitting streak at 30 games.
...Source: http://baseball.about.com/b/2011/05/08/andre-ethier-hits-the-formidable-30-game-wall.htm
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